Forecast Misalignment: Hotels Should Grade Strategic, Tactical, Operational Forecasts Separately to Drive Effective Outcomes
📈 Missed March forecast by 6% after launching a successful February campaign. Forecasts serve three roles: shaping future demand (120+ days), adjusting pace (30-120 days), and guiding short-term operations (0-30 days). Strategic success is measured by revenue change, tactical by revenue lift, and operational by MAPE within 2-3%. Align all departments to view and assess forecasts based on their specific time horizon. Accurate grading of forecasts is essential to reward the right work and foster improvement.
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