U.S. Hotel Forecast Assumptions – February 2026
🛌 STR/Tourism Economics forecasts a 0.6% RevPAR growth for 2026, after a 0.3% decline in 2025. Demand dipped 0.5% in 2025, expected to rebound by 0.4% in 2026. The 2026 World Cup will boost U.S. RevPAR by 0.4%. U.S. inbound travel is expected to rise 3.7%, with outbound travel increasing 4.6%. Supply growth is reduced to 0.7% for 2026, and ADR growth remains below inflation. Group demand fell 1.8% in 2025, offset by 4.0% ADR growth.
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